The Guardian | Hillary Clinton has 81% chance of defeating Trump, Nate Silver predicts The Guardian In analysis of only polling data, Nate Silver's model on 2016 race on his FiveThirtyEight website shows Clinton winning election 81-19 again Trump. Photograph: DSK/AFP/Getty Images. Tom McCarthy · @TeeMcSee. Wednesday 29 June 2016 17.46 EDT Last ... Nate Silver: Hillary Clinton Massive Favorite To Defeat Donald Trump As 538.com Election Forecast Goes Live If Donald Trump Lost, Would He Concede? Donald Trump Has A 20 Percent Chance Of Becoming President |